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• PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES FRONTIER SERIES

Involve some number of deaths that was higher than the theoretical But ofĬourse, financial resources were limited by political considerations,Īnd so the choices made by the military would typically need to Range of choices, and the generals would choose among them. The idea was that the think tank identified the Some choices might cost more in money but be expected to have fewerĭeaths, while other choices might cost less in money but be expected RAND quickly backpedaled on the study, and instead moved to a moreĬautious approach which spelled out a range of choices: for example, Retrospectives: The Cold-War Origins of the Value of Statistical Life

Given zero weight to the lives of airplane crews. Result in high casualties, in part because the objective function had Idea that pencil-necked academics could contribute to military Patrons in the US Air Force, some of whom were always skeptical of the This work, pride and a haughty spirit often go before a fall. Though losses would be high, theīombing objectives would be met. Propeller planes, many of them decoys carrying no nuclear weapons, to States fill the skies with numerous inexpensive and vulnerable Completed in 1950, the study recommended that the United Numerous variables for fighters, logistics, procurement, land bases,Īnd so on. Modeled in RAND’s new aerial combat research room.

Simulated games at each enemy encounter, each of which had first been The massive computations for each configuration involved Proud of their optimization model and the computing power that theyīrought to bear on the problem, which crunched the numbers for overĤ00,000 configurations of bombs and bombers using hundreds ofĮquations. The US Air Force asked RAND to apply systems analysis to design aįirst strike on the Soviets.

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES FRONTIER SERIES

In the end, they came out with a series of two "good" possibilities, degree of victory and number of crew lives saved. In the 1940's the RAND corporation put together a series of simulations about war between the USA and the USSR.